Unfortunately StreetsblogUSA's rosy
scenario of bicycle safety improving over time as more bike trips occur depends
more on misinterpretation of statistics than reality.
StreetsblogUSA--pushing
for walk/bike modes, sustainable communities, etc.--uses a timeline of 1977-to
date of bike trips against bike fatalities. Then criticizes the report
author, Governors Highway Safety Association (GHSA), for blaming the
"victim," the cyclist for fatalities by reporting about a quarter of
adult bicyclists killed were BUI (biking under the influence). Welcome to
highway statistics--half of all walkers killed in the young adult
ages--20-40--also were WUI (walking under the influence). The conclusion
from the data is that one should no more bike home after a few drinks than drive--and
if you must walk home after a few drinks, do so with a designated sober
"walker buddy."
The use of the 1977 to
recent fatalities and trips for U.S. cyclists happens to parallel roughly the
drop of the U.S. from first to 14th in highway fatalities rates internationally
(per vehicle mile). Gains everywhere in reduction of highway fatalities
during the period were particularly helped by better incident management and
medical advancements, including better trained EMS personnel, improved emergency
medical facilities, etc. But the U.S. failed to invest in safety, does
not have a high priority for safety and as a result relatively for those who
walk and bike---and yes travel by car--our streets are far more dangerous up to
twice as dangerous as the nations with lower fatalities rates, many in Western
Europe.
Meanwhile during the last
four decades when the U.S. did practically nothing many nations--particularly
European--actually made great progress in walk/bike safety through substantial
investments in roundabouts, traffic calming, protected bike lanes, grade
separations, etc. While the U.S. urban street changed very little in a
half century the streets in many nations changed radically. For example,
France which long lagged the U.S. in highway safety in one year 1993-2003 built
more roundabouts when adjusted for population than the U.S. has from the first
in 1991 to date, about 5,000 to 6,000 roundabouts now in the U.S. which includes residential traffic
calming circles.
Note that while just
about everyone in Europe urban total trips share--bicycle and walking--ranging
around the 30% mark, the U.S. urban share is about 11% with home to work urban
trips by bicycle recently reported by U.S. Census at 0.6 %. Bicycling on U.S.
urban streets--yes, Canada too--remains mostly the province of young, adult,
white males while in Europe a cross section of the population by age and gender
bikes regularly in addition to walk trips.
And--most important--how about our walk/bike fatality rates (remember our riders are young adult males and
their population includes kids, women and oldsters)? Well not much of a
surprise, our fatality rates for those who walk and bike per mile of travel is
about three times the rate of the urban Germany and the Netherlands (John
Pucher of Rutgers study). And the most disturbing statistic are the U.S.
bike injury rates per mile of travel 20 (twenty) times that of the two
European nations.
Burlington Fatalaties
Our four Burlington walk/bike fatalities since
1998--one cyclist and three walkers--amounts to a rate of one walk/bike
fatality every four years. (Included in the Burlington four is Julia
Gorda, 20, killed adjacent to the City limit on U.S. in September at the
crossing between Staples Plaza and the Sheraton.) All our fatalities
occurred at signalized intersections as did two car occupant fatalities.
Note that practically all the fatalities outlined here could have been
avoided if those intersections were roundabouts--and all the intersections
involved are obviously good candidates for roundabout conversion.
Meanwhile, Burlington
also experiences a high rate of walk/bike injuries including the critical
injury which occurred at the new "flasher" signal on Pine Street in
September.
The lessons here are at
least twofold. First and foremost, each of us needs to be very careful in
walking and bicycling in Burlington as the streets are relatively dangerous
compared to communities--predominately found in European nations--where quality
walk/bke infra predominate. Second, we need to accelerate the investment
and installation of safe walk bike infra, like that contained in the North
Avenue Corridor Plan adopted by the City Council in October.
There are other glimmers
of change in Vermont urban walk/bike safety with roundabouts now in downtown
Middlebury, Manchester Center (first Vermont roundabout "corridor" of
three), Montpelier and now Waterbury. In addition to the North Avenue
Corridor Plan with its end-to-end cycle track an three roundabouts replacing
signals, Brattleboro's long awaited commercial roundabout corridor on Putney
Road my move ahead.
And, finally, Burlington
will get the first busy street roundabout on a public street in Chittenden
County in 2017--perhaps the Burlington Walk Bike Council requested roundabout
demo along with funding of $12,000 will beat that 2017 date.
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