Sunday, June 5, 2016

The Senioring of Vermont 2010-2030

The Senioring of Vermont 2010-2030

The two decade official average projection of Vermont population by age from the 2010 Census to 2030 shows a decline in under 65 age residents and a 97% increase or 89,452 additional residents in the seniors 65 age and older group. This growth amounts to an increase in senior population in excess of Census total population of the Town of Stowe, 4,324 each and every year for the 20-year projection 2010-2030 period.

The proportion of Vermont seniors of the total population doubles from 12% in 2010 to 24% in 2030. Still, looked at from another perspective the added senior population growth of 89,452 between 2010 and 2030 seems even more startling. Consider this growth slightly exceeds the total combined population of the following Vermont “B” communities: Burlington (State's largest city), Barre, Barton, Bellows Falls, Bennington, Brandon and Brattleboro,

The nearly doubling of Vermont's senior population from 91,078 in 2010 to 180,537 in 2030 amounts to a growth a slightly more than the total 2010 population of Stowe, 4,314 each year.
Meanwhile the drop in the youngest population to age 0-18 drops 18% and college/working age aged 19-84 down 11%. The trends are the same even for relatively growing (but growth slowing) Chittenden County for the 2010-2030 period--down 11% 0-19 age and down 5% 20-64 age. In Chittenden County the age 65 and over senior population growth of 111% exceeds the average projection of 97%.

In most counties the decline in under 65 is even more dramatic than the Chittenden County numbers. For example, Addison County 2010-2030 projection show a decline in 0-19 population of 36% and 20-64 of 21%.

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